南非罢工潮再起 黄金现货受益
关键字：现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
周三亚洲时段，国际黄金现货维持1293-1295一线小幅震荡，由于昨晚美国公布的经济数据不及市场预期，黄金晚间走势有所反弹，但是反弹力度不强，未能顺利攻克1300关口。而早盘在1295一线徘徊震荡，更多是一种上攻1300关口前的蓄势行为。
【基本面】
根据南非统计局最新公布的季度产量数据显示，尽管1月产量有所回升，但2014年一季度南非矿业产量较去年同期仍普遍下滑，其中铂金系金属产量降幅最大，因该国矿工的罢工行为仍在持续，对黄金行业造成极大的冲击。
南非铂金矿工罢工引发的冲突持续升级。南非西北省警方12日说，两天之内共造成4人死亡，另有6名矿工被刺伤。同时，罢工对矿业的影响也是显而易见的：今年3月南非铂系金属产量同比暴降44.3%。而今年3月南非黄金产量同比下滑2.9%，下滑幅度不如铂金。
虽然短期内黄金的价格仍算不上强势，甚至可以在今年众多的交易品种当中算得上走势较弱的一员。但是笔者认为，在需求不变的情况下，供给的减少将会导致金价的上扬，由于产业链的传导效应较慢，所以黄金价格的上涨仍需时日。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，近期黄金收出了多条十字星和纺锤线，而且黄金仍处于三角形整理的末端，尚未作出方向性的选择，所以短期内黄金仍然处于窄幅震荡阶段。而均线系统方面，由于近期黄金走势较为平缓，均线系统均开始出现走平迹象，我们大田贵金属预计短期内黄金仍主要受地缘政治问题影响，窄幅震荡的可能性较大。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1288 止盈1297 止损1275
做空：开仓1295 止盈1286 止损1305
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.