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现货黄金冷对德拉基言论

关键字:现货黄金走势

【行情回顾】

周五(5月9日)亚市早盘,国际现货黄金交投于1289美元/盎司一线,由于布林线的喇叭口已经处于持续收口的状态,终究会面临方向选择,而昨晚德拉基推升通胀言论致使非美货币重挫,美元指数则出现瞬间暴涨,不过黄金反应较为平淡,而今日早盘黄金走势也相当低调,主要以低位盘整为主。

【基本面分析】

欧洲央行稍早宣布维持利率不变。德拉基在政策会议结束后的新闻发布会上称,管委会成员对长期低通胀的前景“并不满意”。

德拉吉的讲话分为两段。前段确认了经济复苏的态势,带动欧元/美元汇价逼近1.4000整数关,刷新了年内高点。而相反的美元指数跌破79关口,并刷新年内低点。

德拉基说,欧洲央行预期低通胀持续较长时期,之后逐步上升;管委会认为通胀前景的上行与下行风险有限,大致平衡;中期通胀预期仍然稳固受控。他表示,预期欧元区的基础物价压力在中期内保持疲弱;管委会不会放任低通胀局面持续过久。

他的这些言论带动欧元快速回落,全面回吐了前几日的涨幅。而美元指数则惊天逆转,回升幅度较大,不过黄金走势到显得波澜不惊。而昨日德拉吉的表态大概只是加大了货币宽松的预期,此前有多名官员表示认同宽松的做法,并表示是有必要的。

【技术分析】

根据我们对金价走势分析所得,由黄金日K线图上看,黄金在昨日收出了一条十字阴星之后,今日早盘震荡收出了一颗小阳线,说明黄金现在的走势源于市场对黄金后市感到相当犹豫。而在均线系统上,由于短期均线的走势较为重叠,压力主要集中在1300关口之前的1295~1297一线,若短期内无较大利好刺激,黄金很可能会陷入久盘必跌的现象当中。

【操作建议】

做多:开仓1285 止盈1295 止损1277

做空:开仓1297 止盈1290 止损1305

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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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