耶伦讲话 现货黄金反应冷淡
关键字：现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
由于周五为本周最后一个交易日，而美国方面并无太多消息公布，欧元区方面，欧洲央行周四刚刚公布的利率决议，且预期下个月放宽政策，隔夜黄金价格走势平淡，市场仍然以继续消化周四的耶伦和德拉基讲话为主。因此在今日早上亚盘时段，黄金市场交投较为清淡。
【基本面分析】
美联储主席耶伦周四表示，美联储眼下并不急于削减其资产负债表至合适规模，但如果希望能将之缩减至危机前水平，这个过程恐怕需要5-8年的时间。而美联储的资产负债表规模已从2007年的约8,000亿美元膨胀至目前的4.5万亿美元。三轮旨在刺激经济的资产购置举措导致资产负债表规模扩大到纪录水平。由于对美国经济复苏状况不满意，美联储每月仍在继续买入450亿美元债券，不过购债措施应会在今年后期结束。
耶伦隔夜在面对一参议院委员会所发表的证词中称，尚未就央行的资产组合规模做出决定。但她指出，一旦美联储决定升息，资产负债表规模应该就会开始缩小。
虽然联储可能出售之前购买的抵押贷款支持债券，但根据以往透露的想法，联储更有可能只是在债券到期后不再把回收的资金进行再投资，让这部分资产随着时间的推移自然流出资产负债表。
耶伦在谈及停止再投资时说：“如果依照这样的做法，资产负债规模可能需要5-8年左右的时间重新回到危机前的水平。”——这是美联储迄今针对缩减资产负债表至更正常水平这一棘手任务，给出的最明确的时间表。
【技术分析】
由日K线图上看，昨天黄金现货价格收取一根小阴十字星，并且均带有较长的上影线，表明上方压力强劲，布林走平，中轨于1296附近形成较为强劲阻力，MA均线粘合运行，并于1295附近形成压力，而MACD金叉能量衰减殆尽，DEA、DIF于0轴下方粘合，KDJ向下发散，RSI走平运行于低位，以上种种均表明短期内多头力量持续衰竭，导致黄金出现低位盘整走势。
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.