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4.21国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)

关键字:4.21国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)

【行情回顾】

因4月18日全球黄金市场适逢“耶稣受难日”休市,国际现货黄金持稳于1290-1300位置,4月21日亚市早盘时段,黄金现货价格继续盘整,最低价录得1281.70美元,反映市场交投卖盘意愿强烈,交投量继续清淡。

【基本面分析】

上周公布的美国经济数据均好于预期,3月零售销售月率上升1.1%,3月工业生产月率从0.6%回升至0.7%,更加振奋人心的是2月数据均大幅向上修正,考虑到2月和3月数据均表现强劲,美国一季度GDP增速将不会像之前多数分析师预计般糟糕。

乌克兰局势方面,美欧俄乌四国外长谈判取得一定进展,乌克兰和俄罗斯同意做出努力以缓和紧张局势,但仍有众多关键问题没有得到解决,例如乌政府并没有暂停镇压分裂分子的军事行动,俄罗斯没有承诺不使用军事干预,美国方面也没有排除增加制裁力度的选择。

本日澳洲、新西兰、香港、瑞士、德国、英国、意大利、法国市场因复活节假期休市,而美国市场恢复正常交易,故投资者可留意纽盘的行情变动。

【技术分析】

早盘时段收取阴烛,最高价与最低价的跌幅达20美元,5日,10日,30日RSI线均向下发散,本日技术面上将视乎100日均线1277.28美元的支撑,上方受多重均线压制,本日建议空方思路,目标1275,止损1300。

【本日关键数据】

日本3月进出口与贸易收支

美国芝加哥联邦储备银行3月全国活动指数

美国3月谘商会领先指标月率

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