美联储利率决议前 黄金现货行情窄幅震荡
关键字：美联储利率、黄金现货行情
【基本面】
美联储利率决议在即，市场情绪稳定，非美货币维持震荡，商品货币表现较为强劲，纽元逼近了2013年年内高点，唯独加元表现弱势，时段内在加央行行长表态以及加拿大财长辞职消息的带动下，加元迅速回落，美元/加元再度逼近上周高点。
盘前公布的美国2月消费物价指数年率略低于市场预期，不过在除去能源以及交通运输等变化较快的部分之后，核心消费者物价指数年率依然稳定在1.6%，与前值以及市场预期一致，稳定的通胀表现令明日美联储利率决议维持购债规模缩减速度的可能进一步上升，实际上，无论是近期经济数据，或者是美联储官员表态，基本可以认为美联储每月缩减100亿美元购债规模的速度不会改变，这也是目前市场的共识。
对于明日的美联储利率决议，由于意外可能性非常小，市场反应可能非常有限，随后美联储首位女性主席耶伦的新闻发布会比较值得关注。考虑到美联储近期面临修改利率前瞻等问题，所以需要关注美联储内部对于经济的预期以及政策倾向。此外市场内部再度出现了意见分歧，上周非农大幅好于预期似乎正在慢慢被人淡忘，高盛最近表示耶伦的鸽派立场可能会推迟加息时间，不过对于这些预期，看看就好，上周还有投行表示美国的经济增长能够达到5%。
【技术分析】
现货黄金周线收取一根带上下影线的阳柱，附图指标MACD金叉放量。从日K线图看，上个交易日收取一根稍带上下影线的阴柱，布林带缩口，附图指标MACD形成死叉，RSI走平。从四小时图看，布林带缩口，黄金价格运行于布林带下轨上方，附图指标MACD死叉放量，RSI走平。大田金业分析师认为，整体看黄金价格关注1363附近压力。
现货黄金阻力位：1362-1366-1371
现货黄金支撑位：1350-1347-1343
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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