现货黄金整体行情偏弱 强势反弹不可能
关键字：现货黄金行情
【基本面】
普京在今天欧洲时段表示克里米亚过去是，现在也是俄罗斯不可分割的领土，克里米亚公投符合国际标准，俄罗斯将不会进一步分裂乌克兰。俄罗斯认为西方用制裁吓唬俄罗斯的尝试十分激进，并将给予回敬。俄罗斯永远不会主动挑衅东方与西方。普京在演讲后与克里米亚领导人正式签署文件，克里米亚将正式加入俄罗斯。普京的讲话避免了短期发动战争的忧虑，刺激全球股指快速反弹，标普500指数期货急速拉升14个基点，后市等待西方国家的回应，警惕西方对俄罗斯采取更严厉的制裁，或令风险情绪以及风险资产再度降温。
北美时段早盘公布了一批美国经济数据。包括美国2月消费者物价指数年率升幅从1.6%降至1.1%，低于预期的1.2%；2月核心消费者物价指数年率维持在1.6%。数据表明美国通胀压力进一步放缓。美国2月新屋开工月率下降0.2%，不及预期的增长3.5%，不过较前值下降16%，表明建筑业有所改善。美国2月营建许可月率增长7.7%，高于预期的1.6%。美股期货在好坏不一的数据后变化不大。
由于西方与俄罗斯的紧张关系犹存，短期仍不排除风险厌恶情绪再度升温的可能。因此美股短期上涨可能难以持续。而近期对于美股的泡沫担忧犹存，甚至有加剧的可能。仍需要警惕美股自高位大幅回调的风险。尽管目前风险情绪暂时没有急剧恶化的迹象。
【技术分析】
黄金从前期1390一线下行昨日最低价格测试1350一线后。暂时放缓止跌。那么短期来看现货黄金技术面整体偏弱，强势的反弹不太可能，昨日晚间下行后后半夜小幅反弹，那么整体力度有限，目前技术面偏空，那么日内整体思路上还是反弹做空，1350一线的直接上行难以出现有力度的反弹也缺乏持续性。日内思路做二次回踩。
基本面局势放缓，加上今日隔夜凌晨美国方面美联储会议纪要，那么今日整体波动有限。
目前金价冲击的1350一线作为前期支撑带，那么市场多空转换。下方1350-1345-1340连续构成下方支撑带，那么日内思路反弹空、下方重点关注破位情况，大田官网分析师表示，不可盲目看下方空间。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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