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现货黄金价格仍回落 重点关注美联储议息会议

关键字:现货黄金价格、美联储议息会议

【基本面】

周二俄罗斯与克里米亚正式签署了克里米亚加入俄罗斯的文件,俄罗斯总统普京表示不会寻求瓜分乌克兰,克里米亚已经是乌克兰的一部分。于此同时俄罗斯继续向克里米亚增兵,日内乌克兰与俄罗斯爆发小规模冲突,乌克兰士兵一死两伤,但是这对于股市的影响有限。美国总统奥巴马邀请G7国家领袖召开讨论乌克兰问题的会议,但是市场预计各国处于自身利率考虑可能不会采取更加激进的制裁措施,短期内乌克兰与俄罗斯应该不会爆发军事冲突,市场的紧张情绪继续缓和,股市有望继续上涨。

美国2月新屋开工90.7万栋,低于市场预期91.1万栋;美国2月新屋开工月率下降0.2%,低于市场预期上涨3.5%。另外公布的通胀数据基本符合市场预期,美国2月核心物价指数月率0.1%。市场注意力已经开始转向美联储货币政策会议,市场预计美联储会继续削减WE规模并且重申保证低利率政策。其中美联储对于美国经济的预期可能将会是重点。

【技术分析】

黄金价格已经从周一早盘的高位下跌了近40美元。累继续跌幅达3%,并失守了关键支撑,短期技术图形也呈现出了加速赶顶后破败回落的转势信号。尽管自年初以来形成的金价中期上行趋势尚未完全被扭转,但黄金投资分析师认为,金价在短线仍有进一步的回落空间。

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