非农后市场缺乏指引 黄金现货价格连续上攻
关键字：黄金现货价格
【基本面】
非农后市场缺乏重要数据或消息的推动。不过美股于高位短暂整理后从昨日北美时段开始下跌。近期中国和乌克兰消息继续主导市场。尽管并没有直接的引发因素，但市场对中国增长放缓，信贷泡沫破裂的担忧持续发酵。上周中国上海超日太阳能科技股份有限公司债务违约刺激市场对中国信贷市场的担忧。而近期人民币的大跌也增加了市场的焦虑情绪。“铜博士”近期的惨烈下跌也刺激避险情绪升温，伦敦金属交易所LME铜价触及44个月低点。在过往的10多年,一直充当世界经济特别是中国经济的“晴雨表”，近期铜价的大幅下滑不由得令人担忧。尽管铜价大跌与前面提到的事件存在直接的关联性，但凸显了市场的忧虑。
乌克兰方面，近期乌克兰当局向西方求援帮助遏制俄罗斯的“入侵”令市场对两国局势的担忧挥之不去。欧盟周二表示向乌克兰提供贸易优惠政策，并准备在未来几天内向俄罗斯施加制裁。俄罗斯与西方的冷战是否将进一步升级以及将影响全球经济目前都存在很大的不确定，这种不确定性也引发了多头的抛售潮，美股自高位回落并不意外。
未来两天相对重要的数据包括美国2月零售销售（周四）和2月PPI以及消费者信心数据（周五）。不过预计宏观事件风险将继续主导市场情绪。
【技术分析】
黄金价格连续上攻，短期内黄金价格多头趋势打开；周K线运行于布林带上轨位置，布林带开口，其短中长期指标持平向上运行，附图MACD指标0轴位置持平运行，指标强势。
日K线运行于布林带上轨位置，布林带轻微开口，其短中长期指标黄金现货价格持平向上运行，附图MACD指标0轴上方粘合交金叉，指标中性偏强。
4小时K线运行于布林带上轨位置，布林带开口，其短中长期指标持平运行，附图MACD指标0轴下方金叉打开，指标强势；大田金业分析师认为，短期内黄金的价格或出现企稳弱势看多为主。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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