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国际现货黄金多头强劲 但有修复需求

关键字:国际现货黄金

【基本面】

昨日美国没有经济数据公布,市场依然担心中国经济增速。中国宣布2014年经济增长目标为7.5%,创下20多年来新低,中国2月份出口数据大幅下降进一步增加市场忧虑,中国股市跌至几个月低点,大宗商品价格也大幅下跌。乌克兰局势依然紧张,克里米亚半岛公投日期迫近,市场担心俄罗斯与西方国家的冲突可能会进一步升温,欧盟与美国试图通过制裁逼迫俄罗斯退步,美国参谋长表示如果克里米亚半岛冲突加剧,美国将会对俄罗斯做出军事反应。

有望出任美联储副主席的斯坦利-费舍尔称美国经济还没有进入正常状态,失业率依然非常高,货币政策需要继续维持高度宽松。德国财长表示乌克兰危机对于经济的影响可控,不会影响德国的财政状况。

【技术分析】

4小时来看,国际黄金价格自回踩1328水平位以来,均维持于碎阳的收线格局,布林再度开口,现货金价格站上5日均线沿着布林上轨,不断向上运行,黄金价格表现附图指标MACD金叉放量,但红色动能衰减,KDJ运行于超买区,RSI粘合走平之后再度勾头向上发散,4小时多头明显占优,但现货黄金行情连续上攻之后势能有所衰减,指标有修复需求。

综合来看,近期黄金现货价格多头势能表现异常强烈,强势破位,并刷新近半年新高,上方阻力重点关注1375一线,下方支撑1362-1358。

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