3.13国际现货黄金价格走势分析（2014）
关键字：3.13国际现货黄金价格走势分析（2014）
行情回顾：欧洲时段，市场缺乏重要数据，ICE美元指数反弹受阻80整数字，日内小幅下跌0.1%；避险情绪提振贵金属再度冲高，黄金上破2013年10月高点1360，白银走势相对滞后。
【基本面】
欧盟在乌克兰问题上做出进一步响应，华尔街日报报道指出，欧盟可能在未来几天对俄罗斯施加制裁。与欧盟国家相似，白宫方面也曾作出制裁俄罗斯的暗示，周前俄罗斯总统普京拒绝了美国提出的乌克兰危机解决方案，令政治僵局进一步升级。G7国家周三就乌克兰问题展开讨论，并发表强硬声明，要求俄罗斯停止支持克里米亚公投，否则将采取进一步措施。地区政治风险依旧高企，乌克兰政治问题似乎难以通过外交途径解决，更值得担忧的是，克里米亚公投 (本周日) 一旦获得通过 (据外媒报道可能性很高) ，俄罗斯将全面接管克里米亚，若美欧最终制裁俄罗斯作为对该问题的响应，可能招致俄罗斯方面更加激进的报复 (众所周知普京以强硬著称) ，那么不排除政治僵局蔓延至经济层面，届时美欧和俄罗斯之间的双边贸易也可能受到威胁。短期而言，避险情绪有望继续发酵并为黄金提供支持。
【技术分析】
金价上破2013年10月高点1360，后市有望测试2012年10月以来下行趋势线1380，1360-1380构成中期强阻力区间，只有有效上破才能打开进一步上行空间。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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