中国工业经济走弱 现货白银走势受压
关键字：现货白银走势
【基本面】
本周将是中国新年假期前最后一周，然而国外市场仍十分热闹，本周除了主要货币国家经济数据密集公布，央行官员讲话，周四还有凌晨美联储和纽储行两大央行将公布利率决议。美联储此次会议对于是否再次缩减QE的决定牵动着全球投资者的所有思绪。尽管市场对于纽储行加息预期升温，然而惠勒12月份的讲话中称纽储行最早将在2014年3-4月份加息，新西兰银行认为加息时间不大可能在一月，如果新西兰联储本周四没有释放更多加息的强烈信号，或将打压纽元加息预期。日内经济数据重点关注德国IFO商业调查报告，美国新屋销售以及达拉斯联储制造业活动指数。
【技术分析】
周K线上伦敦银上周收阴下跌，并没有脱离底部盘整的箱体整体态势，从近期机构的动向看，对冲基金削减白银的多头头寸，暗示着对银价后市行情不太看好，这可能与中国工业经济重新走弱有关，市场做多气氛不足。
从均线系统来看，当前20周均线持续下压，有利于减轻未来反弹的阻力，不过5周、10周均线仍然对当前走势构成不利影响，若银价能一举突破20.60上方，无疑有助于打开上升，空间，反之若短中期均线对走势构成压制，则箱体底部必将再次承压，未来压力可见一斑。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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