美股下跌 黄金现货价格继续上涨
关键字：黄金现货价格
【基本面】
受到中国增长放缓担忧的影响，亚太新兴市场股市普遍下跌。今日日经225指数收跌1.94%，香港横生指数下跌1.25%，印度孟买SENSEX30指数1.12%。本周公布的中国12月汇丰制造业PMI跌破枯荣分水岭50，加剧市场对中国的担忧。此前有很大负面消息与中国有关，包括中国经济放缓、信贷泡沫、影子银行和地方债务等，这些因素令市场对整个新兴市场的资产前景怀有浓厚的看跌情绪，也导致近期再度出现资金撤离的局面。
根据EPFR数据显示，1月22日当有，有14亿美元资金流出新兴市场股票和债券市场。泰国政治布不稳定等局部因素也加剧了资金的外流。另外，拉美汇率危机蔓延，这些地区的货币大幅贬值均加剧了投资者的担忧。尽管这些对于欧美市场来说，都是外部因素，但投资者避险情绪的上升也连带拖累了欧美股市。下周将公布美联储利率决议，或对美股产生更大的推动。
【技术分析】
黄金现货周一亚市继续上涨，从上周五的收盘水平上涨0.73%至1278.01美元/盎司，录得去年11月19日以来的最高水平。短期技术面仍倾向看涨，5日和15日均线目前上行。上行阻力关注去年11月14日高点1294，进一步阻力关注200日均线，目前位于1316.65。若跌破上周五低点1256.59，则短期下行压力将增强，进一步支持关注55日均线，目前位于1238.06。黄金现货目前报1271.85美元/盎司。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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