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美联储缩减QE3 现货黄金价格或回调至1180

关键字:现货黄金价格

【基本面】

美股在昨天美联储削减资产购买规模后大幅上涨,美联储对于美国经济信心的上升刺激股市延续年内涨势。日内公布的美国上周初请失业金人数为37.9万,高于市场预期33.2万。就业数据的恶化更可能是由于季节因素,美国就业市场目前出现明显改善,失业率降至5年新低。另外美国12月费城联储制造业指数7.0,低于市场预期10。

下周将迎来圣诞节假期,本周结束后,市场下周可能再度进入类似的休眠状态,去年此时美国正陷入债务上限危机之中,市场风声鹤唳,但昨日美国已经达成了新的预算案,提前解除了警报,不过美联储的突然行动带来了变故,市场是否会在镇定后有进一步行动,仍需观望。

 

【技术分析】

受美国缩减QE3影响,金银再次走低,日线纷纷报收大阴,现货黄金跌破1200美元/盎司关口,现货白银再次来到3725元/千克支撑附近,空头将会再次试探历史回调新低1180美元/盎司和3620元/千克。日线连续报收3阴,形成“三只乌鸦”的弱势续跌形态,今天是本周的最后一个交易日,如果金价不能站上1200或者继续收阴走低,1180破位就成为了一种必然,后市将下行至1050美元/盎司,操作上低位做多即可。反之如果收报于1200上方那么在年内会保持一种低位震荡的态势。

 

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