美联储削减QE 国际现货黄金下破1200
关键字：国际现货黄金
【基本面】
美联储在宣布将从明年1月份开始每月削减100亿美元资产购买（抵押贷款支持证券和国债购买）的同时强化了低利率前瞻性指引。美联储预计在失业率降至6.5%后，仍可能在“相当长一段时间内”将联邦基金利率维持在接近零的水平。这亚市此前伯南克多次想表达的，也即缩减购债不是紧缩措施；声明还显示，绝大多数官员预计美联储不会在2015年之前上调短期利率。
另一个原因则是，美联储开始削减QE表明该该央行对美国2014年经济前景更加乐观，否则在通胀低迷的背景下美联储仍可能再次推迟削减。在声明中，美联储预计2014年GDP将增长2.8%-3.2%之间，略高于此前预测的2.0%-2.3%；预计2014年失业率将降至6.3%-6.6%，2015年为5.8%-6.1%，2016年将降至6%下方。总体上，美联储对经济前景更显乐观。另外，近期公布的就业、制造业和房屋数据均有不错的表现，增强了市场对2014年美国经济引领全球经济复苏的信心。
由于美联储削减QE已经兑现，因此接下来将密切美国经济数据的表现，若利好数据得到延续，美股有望进一步上涨。同时除美国因素外，中国信贷担忧也有再次抬头的风险。
【技术分析】
现货黄金昨日金价破位1212美元前期低点，行情下破1200美元，最低点收盘于1190美元下方，日线图上看昨日收大阴，且收盘在5日均线之前下，弱势格局明显，整体呈现大跌趋势，当前金价关注1180此年内低点，若破位则继续回落。四小时上看，空头走势，昨日一路走低，且低点不断，弱势明显，但有明显超卖现象，料短线有小幅反弹修复后，继续测试1180，综合来看，上方压力关注1200，1205，盘中弱势明显，那么对于日内操作来说，仍以反弹沽空为主，没有出现短线见底信号，我们就不去主观的认为它会涨，而去盲目抄底。
推荐阅读：
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.