美国经济展望向好 现货黄金行情下滑
关键字:美国经济、现货黄金行情
【基本面】
美国昨日早盘公布的美国11月消费者物价指数月率和年率分别上升0.0%和1.2%,预期分别为0.1%和1.3%。11月核心消费者物价指数年率维持在1.7%不变。第三季度经常账赤字缩窄至948.4亿美元,低于预期的赤字1005亿美元。数据表明美国经济依然没有通胀压力。数据后美股期货上涨,保持短期上涨动能。
周三将公布美联储利率决议,由于美国政府达成预算协议避免政府再次关门,且就业数据显示美国就业市场持续复苏,制造业数据也表现强劲,随着全球房价的攀升,房屋市场也呈现复苏态势。各项指标的改善提升了市场对美联储周三开启削减QE规模大门的预期,不过美股似乎已经消化了这种预期,好于预期的数据转而增强了投资者对美国经济前景以及企业盈利前景的信心,美股再次反弹即体现了这一点。显然,在一片看好美股前景的背景下,投资者仍不想错失逢低买入美股的机会,除非出现重大利空,否则他们不会轻易抛售手中的股票,而目前来看,并没有这种负面风险,因此美股仍有望继续走高。即使陷入整理,也将稳居高位。
【技术分析】
从日线上看,昨日收取的是一根阴柱。从日线图上看,MA5,MA10,MA20三条均线交叉于1240附近,布林带上限在1260附近,布林带下限在1217附近。从1小时图看,金价运行于布林带中下轨,在MA60的1236附近形成一个支撑点。从4小时图上看,布林带是平行运行的。结合之前的行情,今日的上方阻力是1236,1238,1240,1248,1263,1267,下方支撑点是1230,1227,1217,1210。
操作建议:
1、日内若回落见,1227-1228一线附近做多,止损1224,,目标上看1230-1235;稳健者在1217-1220附近做多,止损1210,目标上看1225-1230;
2、日内若触及1247-1248一线附近做空,止损1253,目标依次下看1240-1235;激进者在1240附近做空,止损1243,目标1236-1230。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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