关注美联储议息会议 预计黄金现货行情波动大
关键字：黄金现货行情
【基本面】
对于即将到来的美联储利率决议，已经讨论过无数遍，其实这个话题说到底不外乎两个结果，一是美联储维持目前的状态；二是美联储小幅缩减购债规模。大规模的缩减可能性非常小，虽然美国经济数据好，但通胀疲软是个不争的事实，而且由于通胀疲软，第一种的可能性远大于第二种。对于明日的美联储利率决议，其实完全不必要这么紧张，利率决议之后的走势其实与利率决议本身没有多大的关系，无论短期又或者中期走势。以上次利率决议为例，美联储维持按兵不动，从短期几日的走势来看，市场受到的影响非常小，非美货币短期内继续下跌；而随后一个月内，市场的走势似乎与美联储的利率决议没什么关系，在过去的一个月中，美元/日元大幅上涨，欧元，英镑同样以涨势为主，但商品货币则以下跌和震荡为主，非美货币的走势很难用美联储的利率决议来解释。再把时间向前拨到9月利率决议，美联储维持政策不变，结果是短期时间内非美货币快速上涨，不过随后的一周内就再度回调至利率决议附近的价位，不过随后的一个月内非美货币全面上涨。
【行情分析】
本年度最后的重要数据美联储议息会在今晚凌晨公布，并会在北京时间周四凌晨3点发布货币政策声明和经济预期报告，美联储主席伯南克会在3：30举行新闻发布会，由于大数据前，金价预计在下午时间只会在1217-1255上落，支持位1217、1227，阻力位1242、1255。但数据后，预计可能会有很大波动，投资者要小心留意。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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