黄金现货表现平淡 行情或将反弹
关键字:黄金现货行情、黄金反弹
【基本面】
美联储主席伯南克周一为其任期内推动提高美联储政策透明度的努力辩护,称有必要通过这样的方式来提高公众接受美联储的政策。但伯南克并未就美国FOMC何时开始缩减QE政策的前景发表看法。
美国国会参议院一名高级助理周一表示,该院全体成员可能会在12月19日投票并确认耶伦的美联储主席提名资格,之后不久,参议院就会因年假而休会。
美国11月份工业产值首次超出危机前峰值,这是美国经济再获动能的最新迹象。美国联邦储备委员会周一公布,经季节性因素调整后,11月份工业产值较前月增长1.1%,创一年以来最大增幅。
第三季度美国劳动生产率创下近四年来最快增速,反映出宏观经济复苏势头加快。美国劳工部周一公布,第三季度美国非农劳动生产率折合成年率上升3%,高于政 府此前公布的上升1.9%的初值,并创下2009年第四季度以来的最大升幅。第三季度衡量通货膨胀压力的关键指针单位劳动力成本下降1.4%,初值为下降 0.6%。
数据供货商Markit于12月16日公布的数据显示,美国12月Markit制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)初值意外回落至54.4,脱离11月份所创54.7这一10个月高位,但仍然继续扩张,且就业活动的扩张速度创九个月最大。
数据供货商Markit公布,对5000家制造业和服务业企业月度调查的初步结果显示,欧元区12月份商业活动升温,制造业表现突出。12月份欧元区综合采购经理人指数(PMI)从51.7升至52.1,意味着进入第四季度欧元区经济继续增长,但增幅温和。
【技术分析】
黄金亚盘的早盘时段金价表现比较平淡,但午盘时段金价再度出现了一波拉升目前最高探至1248附近,自昨日尾盘的上冲至1251一线回落。到日内亚盘又一次上冲虽目前来看力度还很有限,但是可以看到反弹的延续性,那么日内空单的朋友们就要小心了。对于QE的问题分析师认为短时间内是难以退出,市场同样表现是不一的。午间时段同样关注价格1253-1255一线阻力。下方继续关注阻力点1237-1238一线。
操作建议:
1、回踩1238-1237一线轻仓做多,止损4个点,目标1243-1248;
2、初见1253-1254轻仓做空,止损4个点,目标1246—1240;
3、初见1228-1229轻仓做多,止损4个点,目标关注1234-1238。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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