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美元受提振上涨 现货黄金走势平淡

关键字:现货黄金走势

【基本面】

近期公布的经济数据整体表现较好,美联储在下周美联储货币政策上削减QE的可能性逐渐增加。今年以来美股涨幅超过20%,临近年末股市面临的回调压力逐渐增加。日内公布的美国11月零售销售月率上涨0.7%,高于市场预期0.6%。利好销售数据显示美国经济前景良好,进一步增加了美联储削减QE的可能性,在下周美联储利率决议前股市或将继续承压下行。

日内公布的美国上周初请失业金人数36.8万,高于市场预期32万。就业数据恶化可能只是季节性因素的影响,美国11月份就业数据表现远好于市场预期,失业率降至近几年低点。

 

【行情分析】

昨日金价受美国零售销售数据向好,提振美元上涨,令市场预期联储局在下周开始减少购债,大部份预期减50-200亿,但经过上一次美联储的议息会议都是很多人预期减少,结果维持不变,这次有机会在预期减或不减的人都差不多的情况下,美联储有机会开始行动。

数据方面,11月份零售销售开出0.7%,(预期+0.6%),还有上周季后初请失业金人数开出36.8万人,(预期32万人)。

预期现货黄金价格维持1267-1210上落。

 

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