美联储减码担忧情绪浓 国际黄金价格节节败退
关键字：国际黄金价格
【基本面】
上周五美股在强劲的非农就业数据后大幅上涨，投资者对美国经济复苏的乐观情绪显然盖过了美联储削减QE的担忧。不过之后几个交易日股市再次回落，回吐了上周五的全部涨幅，因QE削减预期的升温，有多重因素强化这种预期，包括美国就业市场持续复苏、美联储多位官员呼吁削减QE以及美国达成预算协议。这几项都是此前令市场预期美联储推迟削减QE的障碍因素，而随着一个个障碍被扫清，美联储在未来几个月削减QE的压力也开始增加，这将增加美股的回调压力。近期的回调也表明市场的担忧再度显现。
不过随着美国经济复苏走强以及美联储在长时间内维持超低利率政策，美股仍将作为避险资产吸引全球投资者的青睐。目前基于QE削减担忧，美股短期面临继续回调的风险。
【行情分析】
昨晚金价破了1250水平节节败退，下试1220水平靠隐，短线技术上超卖，今天应有小许反弹 ，阻力1238,势头看淡为多。美国初请失业金人数远超预期，为36.8万人，仓下2012年11月10日当周以来新高。市场又再担忧美联处在下周议息，何时减小买债，加上最新spdr gold trust持仓减小至833吨，为2009年初最低水平，反应机构投资者看淡金价，资金外流加剧，多间大行出报告看淡明年金价，仍然维持沽金。故此，破1208水平大手沽，目标1150！
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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