美联储减码预期提前 黄金现货行情承压
关键字：黄金现货行情
【基本面】
美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，美国11月30日当周初次申请失业金人数减少2.3万人至29.8万人，预期32.5万人，前值修正为32.1万人。上周数据为9月份第一周以来最低，当时劳工节假日也影响到数据准确性。美国商务部周四公布数据显示，三季度GDP修正值年化季率增长3.6%，预期增长3.0%，二季度终值增长2.8%。美国三季度GDP平减指数修正为增长2.0%，预期增长1.9%,前值增长1.9%。美因10月工厂订单修正值月率下滑0.9%，预期为下滑1%，英国央行周四宣布利率维持0.50%不变，欧洲央行也宣布维持利率0.25%不变。
【行情分析】
现货黄金12月份可能再次测试2013年低点1180水平，这将取决于今晚公布的美国11月非农就业报告和美联储本月的决策会议。
黄金昨收1224.8美元每盎司，走出1.5%的跌幅，今日早盘小幅上涨。 继上月下跌5.4%后，黄金目前仍维持在本周一的月开盘区间内。美国11月非农发布前，道琼斯FXCM美元指数与黄金均限于整理区间内，价格行为相似。尽管本周已出炉了一系列的美国数据，且均指向乐观的经济前景，但美元与黄金却未受到较大促动。
虽然市场对美联储削减QE的时间安排预期越发前移的确是事实，本周美国、日本及欧洲主要股市均蒙受了不小的跌幅，但风险资产价格的下跌的受益者目前则是日元及瑞郎，而并非黄金。短期内，黄金前景悬于今晚出炉的美国非农报告，如该报告好于预期，黄金将继续上方承压。今年内，黄金在低通胀，经济缓慢复苏的大环境下表现不佳已是不争的事实，要想让投资者对其重拾信心，恐怕还有很长的路要走。
黄金现报1228.1美元每盎司，日涨1.6美元。美国非农报告出炉前可关注月开盘区间的上限1251.2及下限1219.6。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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