美联储减码预期延续升温 黄金现货早盘无推动力
关键字：黄金现货早盘
【基本面】
美联储QE削减预期升温引发的全球股市在周三仍在延续。短期内市场继续关注美国基本面来评估美联储的未来前景，尤其值得关注的是美国11月非农就业报告。今日公布的先行指标美国11月ADP私营部门就业人数增长了21.5万，远高于预期的17万，同时前值从13万修正至18.4万，暗示11月非农可能好于预期，数据后美国10年期国债收益率触及2.841%，为9月18日以来最高；美股期货则继续走低。
23：00还将公布11月ISM非制造业指数、10月新屋销售数据。好于预期的数据将进一步改善市场对美国经济前景的信心，增加美联储削减QE的压力，将不利于美股。旧金山联邦储备银行行长约翰-威廉姆斯(John Williams)周二表示，只有当“完全确信”美国经济走上正轨时美联储才会削减QE。
因此周五的非农就业数据也将备受关注。若数据意外差于预期，QE削减预期势必再次降温，美股将再次反弹。反之，则面临深度回调的风险。
【技术分析】
金价早盘可以看到在没有更多多头动力的助推下，亚盘是没有作为的，再看四小时MACD金叉，RSI进入强势多头区，下方买盘强劲，但是现在看金价只是有止跌的迹象，并不能说明行情就此反转，明日又是美国11月非农数据公布时间，估计市场会比较谨慎，今日早盘还将小区间震荡，黄金上方圧力以1251最日高点来看，下方短期支撑以1227一线做为稳建的操作点。
操作建议：
1、上方见1250－1251一线空单，止损四个点，目标关注1244－1240
2、下方1227－1229附近多单进场，止损四个点，目标关注1236－1240
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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