美国经济乐观 现货黄金走势难料
关键字：现货黄金走势
【基本面】
日内美联储公布的褐皮书称制造业、科技业与房屋市场的增长推动美国经济在过去一段时间继续温和增长。在美国大部分地区消费者支出有所增长，零售业对于假期销售表示乐观；制造业尤其是汽车行业增长速度引人注目。美联储褐皮书公布后美股小幅反弹，这也验证了市场对于美国经济温和复苏的预测，这或许会进一步刺激市场预期美联储可能会在本月18号的美联储会议上削减QE规模，短期内美股可能会继续承压。
日内公布的美国11月ADP就业人数增加21.5万，好于市场预期17万；另外美国10月贸易赤字为406亿美元，略高于市场预期402亿美元。预算谈判传来利好消息，据彭博社报道民主党将接受新税收方案，而共和党则同意增加联邦开支项目，美国政府有望避免再次关门的尴尬局面。
【技术分析】
昨晚黄金在小幅回踩之后，继续冲高，最高触及1251一线，之后一路下跌，目前于1240一线震荡；日线中瀑布指标空头发散，即便是数据的利好，依旧没有改变趋势指标的走向，且日线布林带开口依旧向下，还是一个下行通道中运行，总体上来说还是一个空头趋势，当然，关注的多空分水岭就在1255这里，大田贵金属分析师认为，若是今天破位这里位置站稳，那么上方见一次1300就需要了；4小时图中蝴蝶指标的D点反转很成功，破位0.618这里，接近C点的位置，那么日内关注C点的位置也就是1255附近，若是后世黄金稳企与1255上方，那么空头的力量就衰竭，但是就目前形式而言，过分的看空看多都已经不重要了，短期来看，波段操作，挂突破单是比较好的选择。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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