警惕国际现货黄金反弹 关注周五非农就业数据
关键字：国际现货黄金
【基本面】
今日非美货币继续震荡下行，商品货币跌势较为强劲，欧系货币时段内一度大幅下行，不过随后再度反弹，目前跌幅已大幅缩减。
亚洲时段，澳大利亚GDP数据差于市场预期，带动商品货币快速下行，主要经济体通胀下行导致商品市场并不景气，进而影响以出口商品为主要贸易来源的澳大利亚等国家经济。而纽约时段早盘时，加拿大公布新一轮利率决议，虽然依然维持按兵不动，但加央行格外强调通胀下行存在威胁，美元/加元也在加央行利率决议后一度冲上1.0700整数关。
今日公布了ADP就业数据，数据大幅好于市场预期，ADP就业数据显示私人就业增长21.5万，远好于预期的17万以及前值13万，与市场预期的非农就业数据中的私营部门21.2万的就业人数相近，市场对于非农数据的预期可能进一步提高。
【行情分析】
就目前而言我们还无法得知到底是否会代表跌势即将结束，不过昨日如此强劲的反弹已经需要我们警惕，特别是考虑到当前国际投行一致看空的极端情况下，而金价又逼近了此前一直提到的金矿实际开采成本的盈亏线，到底金价是会像所有这些投行预期的一样跌至1200美元/盎司下方，还是出现意外走势。
市场焦点目前可能转向定于周五发布的美国月度非农就业报告。如果美国新增就业人数超出预期，黄金市场既可能走高也可能走低：如果市场参与者认为美联储在未来数月缩减购债、令黄金市场价格失去支撑的可能性上升，则价格可能下跌。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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