现货黄金价格弱势盘整 空头推动也不足
关键字：现货黄金价格
【基本面】
欧洲时段汇市仍在延续近期三路分化走势∶日元继续全盘走低，美元/日元时段内触及5月份以来的新高102.36；商品货币兑美元维持弱势整理；欧系货币兑美元仍维持强势∶欧元/美元触及11月新高1.3617，英镑/美元触及2011年8月以来最高水平1.6352。ICE美元指数下行触及80.53低点，道琼斯-FXCM一篮子美元指数继续维持在10610支持上方。欧洲股市维持升势，金价轻微走高。
时段内英央行发布卡尼就认行长以来的首份金融稳定报告，英央行在报告中提出大幅削减融资换贷款计划对房地产市场的支持力度，将焦点转向对小企业的信贷支持上。卡尼指出房地产市场已经不需要该计划的支持了，英国房屋估值高於历史标准，不过房地产市场的风险仍在可控范围之内，房价涨势不会对整体金融稳定构成威胁。 英镑/美元时段内高位震荡，触及2011年8月份以来的新高1.6352。
接近美国早盘公布的数据显示德国11月通胀年率回升至1.3%、调和通胀年率回升至1.6%，均超出市场预期。德国通胀回升有助於巩固市场对欧元区11月通胀回升的预期；欧元区11月通胀初值报告将在明天公布，这将是欧元本周面临的最重要的考验。
美国时段美国市场因假休市，料整体汇市将维持窄幅整理。
【行情分析】
现货黄金昨日开盘在1237.80，最高到1245.70，最低跌至1234.60，于1243.80附近收取一根久违的小阳线。技术面从日线图走势来看，昨日报收小阳柱，虽然有突破MA5的迹象，但是上方MA10的阻力还是相当强劲，短期内不看好黄金能突破MA10上行，预计黄金仍然会进行一个弱势盘整，在昨日最低到1335，迅速反弹到1245，空头的能量也还是不足。4小时方面短期均线粘合，布林有开口迹象，KDJ反弹到高位，MACD依然空头绿柱不变，从1小时来看，目前早盘价格贴近布林中轨，短期均线正在死叉向下运行。中长线空头趋势依然不变，短线多头机会仍然存在。综合来看，在1243-1245附近为多空争夺的分水岭，金价站上1240后，会进行一个盘整，预计今日盘整区间1253-1235，具体操作上高空为主，未破区间前可选择在区间内高沽低渣。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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