日内美国没有重要数据 现货黄金行情低位盘整
关键字：美国经济、现货黄金行情
【基本面】
午盘公布的德国11月通胀数据意外上升，11月德国CPI年率从1.2%升至1.3%，调和CPI年率从1.2%升至1.6%，远高于市场预期1.3%。数据后欧元小幅上冲美元则小幅回落，然而德国数据并不能作为欧元区通胀可能回升的依据，欧元区17国中德国物价一直维持在相对较高水平，外围国家物价下跌才是整体通胀下滑的主要原因，如希腊10月CPI年率为-2.0%，西班牙和葡萄牙10月CPI年率分别为-0.1%和-0.2%，只有当上述深陷经济衰退的国家物价水平开始回升时，才能有效推动欧元区通胀上升。欧元区11月通胀数据无疑是决定欧央行货币政策预期的重要因素，若结果好于预期则有助于缓解欧央行推出更多刺激的担忧，欧元可能因此而继续上行，届时美元面临严峻下行风险，疲软美元反过来有望支持贵金属反弹；若欧元区通胀再度下滑，则可能提振美元兑欧元等主要货币反弹，或打压黄金下跌。
【行情分析】
昨日因美国感恩节假日休市，金价波动幅度非常有限，最大波动幅度也不过5美元，而日内亚洲时段尽管市场恢复正常，但是金价仍没有摆脱昨日的窄幅整理走势，暂时仍波动在1242美元/盎司附近。
今天是本周也是11月份的最后一个交易日，而日内美国方面仍没有任何重要数据公布，这使得金价恐怕在日内也难以有太大作为。
技术上金价仍维持低位盘整走势，反弹仍受到日图下行趋势线的打压，不过同样也暂时没有恢复跌势的迹象，若金价能在欧洲时段小幅走高上破日图下行趋势线，那么短线就可能转变成反弹修正走势。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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