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黄金小幅反弹 但下行趋势仍未止

关键字:黄金反弹、黄金下跌

【基本面】

目前市场对于股市的信心依然高涨,美国经济复苏依然处于不温不火的状态,投资者需要更多的经济数据评估目前美国的经济状况以应对美联储何时削减QE规模。由于美联储此前表示将会逐渐缩减QE规模,这对于目前的美国股市是潜在的利空。美联储的量化宽松货币政策推动美股大幅上涨,一旦美联储开始逐渐退出QE,美股可能面临一轮抛售。本周美联储主席提名者耶伦将会在参议院进行听证会,耶伦的态度将会受到市场关注,近期有美联储委员称美联储应该在12月份削减QE,美联储未来货币政策走向是市场关注焦点。

周三美国没有经济数据公布,企业零售商梅西百货的盈利高于市场预期,日内公司股价大幅下跌。亚洲表现不佳,中国的三中全会公布的改革方案缺乏细节令市场失望,欧洲股市也表现不佳,但是美股并没有受到影响,表现强势的美股年内有望继续刷新高。

【技术分析】

黄金昨日小幅反弹,技术图形上黄金下行趋势明显,在跌破1300美元/盎司后黄金有望打开进一步下行空间,下方支撑关注年内低点1250美元/盎司附近。黄金短暂下破1270后反弹,后市现货黄金投资继续关注价格能否有效下破6月末上行趋势线,下破则可能打开进一步回落空间。

 

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