黄金低位整理 美股有望刷新高
关键字：黄金走势
【基本面】
美国财政部13日公布月10月份(2014财政年度第1个月)预算赤字优于预期，税收年增8%至1,989.27亿美元，支出年增4.5%至2,905.2亿美元，赤字缺口为920亿美元。
英国9月ILO失业率从7.7%降至7.6%，失业人数减少4.8万，远超市场预期，就业市场意外改善与产出加速扩张维持一致。英央行通胀报告同样出人意料，货币政策委员会大幅上调2014年经济增长预期，并显著降低了失业预测，通胀报告指出到2015年三季度失业率降至7%的概率超过50%，就业改善速度高于8月预期。英央行此举无疑向市场传递了较为明确的货币政策信号，即MPC可能提前加息，受此利好提振英镑强劲上涨，一度打压美元小幅回落，商品市场对此反应平淡。ICE美元指数仍在测试长期重要阻力位81.50-81.80，只有有效上破才能打开进一步反弹空间，持续受阻则可能重新转为走弱。
周三美国没有经济数据公布，企业零售商梅西百货的盈利高于市场预期，日内公司股价大幅下跌。亚洲表现不佳，中国的三中全会公布的改革方案缺乏细节令市场失望，欧洲股市也表现不佳，但是美股并没有受到影响，表现强势的美股年内有望继续刷新高。
【技术分析】
隔夜黄金期货走势主要延续白盘反弹，晚间前半夜惯性回升1280受阻，金价出现回落，4小时也如期形成带长上引小阳，反弹力量得到削减，主要看震荡下行，也可以说是低位调整，区间1277-1264之间，金价选择方向。
既然，金价未破前面提到的1284，那么实质性未能打破下行趋势，大田金业认为继续下破的可能性更大，顺理成章看，下方在1260以下还有不少短线支持：1254-50。可后半夜却没能保持好弱势调整，或者说上半夜走势只是麻痹投资者，下半夜发力才真正开始，金价迅速上窜，扩大区间，最高早间触及1284附近，那么早间可以关注4小时图，上方1290-92值得锁定。
操作建议：
1、金价回落1375做多，止损1271.1，目标上看1280—1282—1285；
2、初次试探1288轻仓做空，止损1293.3，目标回看1285—1282—1278；
3、上破1295回踩1292做多，止损1288，目标1298；
4、下方如若意外下破1260一线后追空，止损1265.目标1252。
推荐阅读：
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.