实物黄金昨日收阴 关注耶伦伯南克讲话
关键字:实物黄金、耶伦讲话、伯南克讲话
【基本面】
近期有多位美联储官员发表讲话,总体上对市场影响不大。不过10月非农就业数据意外走强之后,市场对美联储削减QE的预期再次升温。昨日亚特兰大联储主席洛克哈特称美国下月很可能削减国债购买,引发美股的一些零碎的结利盘。目前市场普遍的预期依然是依然是明年三月份,因届时耶伦已经上任、预算谈判有望顺利解决,同时经济复苏更显强劲。不过从历史来看,这种情景和预期总是在变化之中。
北京时间周四早间美联储主席伯南克将发表讲话。他曾在10月非农就业数据公布后表示美国就业市场仍面临非常的下滑风险,暗示仍倾向保持目前的宽松政策。因此伯南克的讲话维持鸽派基调的可能性更大。另外晚间耶伦将出席美国银行业委员会的听证会,受到密切关注。
【技术分析】
从技术分析日线来看,昨日收阳,黄金结束了接连2日远离5日线的情况,5日线下方1280附近支撑,日线布林开口打开,MA均线空头排列,附图指标MACD死叉放量缩减,RSI走平;从4小时来看,金价运行于下降通道之中,昨日接连几个阳柱破坏了下行格局,尾盘的拉伸也吞没了阴柱,MA5上穿MA10形成金叉开口,指标MACD金叉放量,RSI向上发散, 4小时呈现反弹之势。大田金业分析师提醒,重点关注其耶伦讲话内容中是否涉及关于QE的论调,同时关注其讲话是否属于鸽派。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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