金价趋势仍上扬 因市场预期美联储维持QE
关键字：金价趋势、美联储维持购债规模
金价仍然每天都在突破，升至1360，黄金对美国经济数据开差异常敏感，这是升势的一个特点。近期comex黄金未平仓合约出现一些全新的多单流入，触及8月中旬来的最高水平，同时黄金ETF持仓增加6.4吨，事实上金价走强的表现正是由于投资者情绪开始逐渐转好。美元指数走弱，无疑将继续刺激后市金价反弹。
10月28日，金价周一触及五周高位，因市场对美国联邦储备委员会(FED/美联储)将在本周举行的政策会议上保持刺激规模不变的信心日益增强。
美联储将从周二开始举行为期两天的政策会议，市场广泛预期联储将保持每月购买850亿美元债券的刺激规模不变。多数人士预计，美联储将推迟开始缩减购债的时间至明年3月。
RJ O’Brien的高级商品经纪Phillip Streible表示，如果美联储本周保持现有购债规模不变，金价可能测试1,400美元的关键心理位。
周一早些时候公布的数据显示，美国9月制造业产出基本持稳，成屋待完成销售降至近三年半最低，巩固了美联储将在明年一段时间内保持刺激规模不变的预期。
美元指数.DXY持于九个月低位之上，美国公债收益率小涨，但仍远低于9月初触及的峰值3.0%，当时市场仍认为美联储将开始调整政策规模。
全球最大的黄金上市交易基金SPDR Gold Shares的黄金持仓量周五下降4.5吨，至872.02吨。
根据商品期货交易委员会的报告，截至10月1日当周，对冲基金和货币基金经理减少对黄金期货和期权的多头押注。
交易商还密切关注亚洲的实货需求，上周印度实货黄金溢价跳升至创纪录的130美元，因政府对黄金进口的限制挤压了节日需求高峰期的供应。
留意明天的议息报告，将预计退市需要延迟，金价得到支持上升。今天继续看升，逢低做多。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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