美国议息会议前夕 金银价格冲高乏力
关键字:美国议息会议、金银价格
行情回顾:
昨晚金价因房屋数据大幅开差,令金价更上一层,突破近期高位,最高暂时见过1360美元,原因市场开始相信后日的议息结果将会利好金价。
【基本面】
美国议息决议将于周四北京时间零晨2时正公布,其后更有发布政策声明,原本市场预期今次都不会退市,现在很多的分析师再转变态度,甚至认为这次议息会加大QE的力度,原因美国停运后,数据都显示美国经济仍然非常疲弱,未来就要看后天的议息的结果。
虽然市场普遍预期联储局本周将继续按兵不动,维持每月购买850亿美元的资产购买规模不变。但留意市场基本上已消化了联储局暂时不会退市的预期,而且某程度,反映在汇价之上。如果联储局的议息结果只是符合预期,而没有特别悲观或政策方面的改变,则对美元的进一步利淡作用料将有限,而对金价则有提振作用。
【技术分析】
黄金昨日最高1361附近,但冲高回落,收了一根十字星,可见回调力度的企图明显,虽然创了新高,但无论4小时还是1小时都表现了乏力。目前价格一下击穿多日均线,可见日内回调已定,将有可能引发白银出现暴跌势回调。
综上所述黄金日线收高位十字,回调信号明显,将会带领白银回调。由于白银数次冲击前高未破,短期回调的需求显著。
预期今天价格会在1340-1379美元行走。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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