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叙利亚开战预期下降 黄金失去避险

关键字:叙利亚开战、黄金避险

【行情分析】

昨日公布的美国初请失业金人数为29.2万人,预期为33万人,为2006年4月来最低。数据好于预期,令投资者对美联储9月缩减QE的预测升温。但由于失业金数据开低,是因有两个州政府升级计算机系统,导致申请人数少报,因此是否能真实反映就业市况令分析师质疑。但即使是数据有误,亦足以打压金价继续下滑。

同时,美国国务卿克里与俄罗斯外长今日在日内瓦会面,将就销毁叙利亚化学武器达成共识,而叙利亚也接受俄罗斯的提议,向联合国交出所有的化学武器。开战预期下降,黄金市场有部分资金撒离,黄金将失去避险支撑。

【盘面分析】

自非农1392之后价位回至今早1322已回70美元,主要受叙利亚事件有所缓和,本月17,18日的议息会议有机会开始减少买债,令金价下跌,如今天收市未能站稳1300以上,下周有机会在1280得到支持,维持下半年1280~1400上落的看法。

今天预测金价1300~1335。

【今日数据】

日本的工业产出

美国的零售销售数据

密歇根大学消费者信心指数。

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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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