今日国际现货黄金走势分析
关键字:今日黄金
【昨日回顾】
现货黄金交易昨天1363点位开盘后小幅上涨,最高触及1366一线点位后开始下滑,接近欧盘时段突然跳水10美元,跌至1345一线后,继续缓慢下滑,美盘时段,因强劲的失业金数据再次加大下跌力度,触及当日低位1322点位,收盘于1325点位。
【基本面】
在联准会宽松政策可能转向,以及美俄对叙利亚问题展开谈判等不确定因素影响下,市场态度转趋保守。
美国国务卿凯瑞(John Kerry)当日飞抵日内瓦与俄罗斯外长Sergey Lavrov展开为期两日的谈判,将商讨叙利亚化武移交国际监管细节。叙利亚总统阿塞德(Bashar al-Assad)为谈判设下先决条件,他表示在配合移交化武的同时,美国必须宣布放弃武力威胁并停止供应反对军武器。
美国上周首次申请失业救济金人数减少3.1万人至29.2万人,优于彭博社调查预估的33万人,且创2006年4月以来新低。但看似亮丽得数据实为两个州政府因升级计算机系统,导致申领人数少报所致。
印度首饰黄金需求上半年跳增了25%至约350吨。但需求目前预计将下滑,因印度政府推出一系列限制黄金进口的措施,防止本国贸易赤字扩大。
【技术分析】
现货黄金自七月初触底反弹后,一度破位上1400点位,在短暂的风光后,黄金再次承压下行,尽吐之前大部分涨幅,而近期下跌趋势依然强势;现货黄金周K线上拉出一根长长的实体阴柱,布林带小幅缩口,K线贯穿布林带中轨、MA5、MA10均线,各短、中、长周期均线开始持平运行,附图MACD指标于0轴下方金叉持平运行,动能有所减弱;
日K线方面,K线突破布林带,在布林带口下方运行,布林带开口向下,短周期MA5、MA10均线死叉向下运行,附图MACD指标在0轴上方死叉向下,指标弱势;四小时K线方面,K线突破布林带口,运行于布林带下方位置,各短、中、长周期均线排开向下运行,附图MACD指标在0轴下方交叉死叉向下运行,指标弱势;
预测金价今天将于1320~1335区间震荡。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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