金银价格持续下跌 预期QE缩减100美元
关键字：金银价格
【基本面】
金银价格亚市再度大幅下挫，现货金价跌破1360美元录得三周新低1338美元/盎司，银价再次跌破24美元录得时段新低，空头气氛依然浓厚。
大田環球貴金屬分析师表示，黄金长期来看今年底到明年上半年底部出现，不过短线来说，因为量化宽松政策退场(QE)仍不明确，风险仍高。叙利亚战争威胁得到缓解，风险偏好情绪继续主导市场，导致金银等避险资产大幅下挫，而其他风险资产则强势上涨，如美股。
另外市场普遍预期下周美联储将决定削减QE规模，导致包括高盛在内的许多投行纷纷看跌黄金价格。
【行情分析】
短中线来看，目前国际资金消化的差不多，对于金价仍抱持着观望的态度，如果QE是逐渐退场，黄金就会有支撑，并且年底前挑战1500美元高价；如过是大幅度退场，黄金价格就会下探。
花旗银行G10外汇策略部门主管 Steven Englander 表示，其实市场希望联准会缩减购债规模约 100 亿美元，并搭配极度鸽派论调，但是又不改变QE退场的时间表。
路透社调查 69 位经济学家，多数预期QE缩减规模会在 100 亿美元。
汇丰银行经济学家Kevin Logan表示，尽管美国经济复苏疲软，但市场仍预期美联储将在下周削减QE规模。这将打压金价。
黄金长期来看今年底到明年上半年底部出现，不过短线来说，因QE退场仍不明确，风险仍高，以此来看，建议一般投资人现在适合定期定额投资。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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