今日国际黄金走势分析
关键字：黄金 走势
【基本面】
预期联储局将于下周落实减少买债的高盛，其包括环球商品研究主管柯里在内的分析员报告指出，鉴于美国经济活动加速，货币政策宽松程度下降，金价明年势续跌。
考虑到交易所买卖基金（ETF）继续沽金及美国对敍利亚采取军事行动的机会率下降，法兴亦预期金价约于年底跌至1,200美元。事实上，花旗、荷兰银行及麦格理不约而同看淡金价明年前景，主要是全球经济复苏及通胀未见升温。可以肯定的是，ETF今年以来沽金683.3吨，持金量大幅缩至1,948.6吨。
不仅如此，全球最大黄金消费国印度，受黄金入口税增加及卢比贬值推高本地金价影响，黄金需求大打折扣，当地八月份黄金入口量仅3吨，不足去年同期35吨的十分之一，与今年四月消费者乘金价暴泻抢金，导致入口量飙升至142吨相比，更是差天共地。另外，联储局料最快今个月内就限制银行参与实货商品交易提出指引，可能促使高盛、摩根大通及摩根士丹利等华尔街大行加速撤离金属仓库及运油等业务。
【行情分析】
金价今天最高触及1367.90 美元/ 盎司，最低下探至1343.00 美元/ 盎司。
金价周三基本收平，对近期行情无太大影响。金价上方1420关键阻力持续完好，黄金投资短线强穿1350美元，初步支撑的概率犹存。维持之前“料该支撑遭强穿后将进一步打开下行空间，其下方进一步支撑需觅至1314。同时要指出的是1314 对金价的支撑效果料也不强劲，其下方最关键支撑位于1270水平。
【操作建议】
今晚价位预测下方支持位1336，上方阻力位1368。
建议买入价1344买升，止蚀1334，止赚1364。
【重要数据】
今晚20：30公布美国重要数据，进出口物价及初请失业金人数预估值，都是偏好，预计金市会于中午时间较后反复试低位。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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