消息面清淡 预计黄金价格承压至下周三
关键字：黄金价格
【行情回顾】
过去一周金价不断徘徊于1350-1410美元的位置，实际上是市场上月开始炒作退市消息，加上叙战令金价趾高气扬，曾冲上1434美元这个较大的阻力位置。奥巴马已要求国会推迟授权对叙利亚采取行动的表示，令金价在1350-1370上落等待消息突破，一旦开战黄金需求随即增加。
【基本面】
本月17-18是美国联储局议息，市场都在估计今次会议上会否有行动，从各方面的资料上可见到，联储局决定退市有两大理据：一是失业率回落至6.5%，二是通胀超过2%。
大田貴金屬分析师表示，从近来数据中虽然美国很多方面都似在向好，但距离这两个指标仍有一段距离，故此今次很大可能会先保持买债，再用”口术”推出”退市时间表”而不会有实际行动，金价在此环境下仍会受压，相信最快要到下周三后金价才会回升。
【技术分析】
昨日金价开盘1364，只收于1362空间只有12美金的跌幅，行情波动的幅度较小。日线近似十字星，实体在前一根阴线实体以内，注意空头下跌能量开始减少。MACD走平，布林带开口向下，早间金价下跌可能性较大。
【操作建议】
市场开始呈现疲弱状态，加上叙战一拖再拖，带起黄金交易市场回套情绪，踏入九月开始回稳到1370美元的水平，虽然呈现跌势，但金价走势仍属牛市，今天的阻力位1368，1375，支持位1356，1344。
由于高盛和部份银行在2014年对黄金的预测下降，金价有机会回低，暂时1346是关键，一旦突破，还有机会在1300以下买入，短线回低买升为主，上望空间1433才有阻。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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