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非农表现差 金银大幅反弹

纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场12月黄金期价11月7日收于每盎司1178.7美元,比前一交易日上升了37.4美元,涨幅为3.28%。白银期货上涨2.66%,报每盎司15.81美元。

美10月非农意外不及预期:美国10月非农就业人数变化为21.4万,差于市场预期值23.5万,同样也差于前值24.8万;美国10月失业率为5.8%,稍好于市场预期值5.9%。美国10月份新增的非农业就业人数低于市场预期,反映美国就业市场方面仍存在一定的增速短板,导致美元在触及4年多高位后回落。而金市短期内经历刷新低位诱空之后,快速进入反弹。美国经济总体状况尚佳,警惕反弹高位空头大量回补造成金价再度回落。

各国货币政策按经济状况而定:美联储主席耶伦发言称,全球各国的货币政策,应随着经济活动和通胀正常化而正常化,财政政策如果不能给国家经济以足够支撑,将会削弱国家经济的复苏进展。由于耶伦本次的讲话内容较为温和,表达了当经济存在复苏缓慢进程中的不稳定问题时,刺激性的货币政策仍很有必要的观点,这减轻了市场对于美联储提前加息的忧虑,耶伦偏向“鸽派”的言论进一步加深了非农数据带来的利好影响,金价反弹力度幅度均非常可观。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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