金融风险将助黄金重归牛市
关键字：现货黄金走势
现货黄金周以纽约时段盘中继续徘徊在1290美元下方，贵金属交易市场整体跌幅较大，因技术性抛售以及市场因复活节假期而缺乏新的利好因素。但有专家认为金价将在今年触底，长期将受到货币及金融市场风险的提振而走强。
国际投资黄金基金(INIVX)投资组合经理Joe Foster周一表示，“如果金价将当前基础上继续下跌，可能会导致产量缩减以及中国需求的增加，而这有助于推动金价构筑底部。与此同时，未来货币及金融市场的潜在风险将长期利好黄金。”
另一方面，他认为去年金价暴跌的主因是投资者逐渐对全球经济复苏持乐观态度，导致风险情绪升温。尽管今年年初新兴市场再度出现动荡，但绝大部分投资者对此仍不以为然，他们坚信未来美联储的货币政策会顺利回归正常化。可是，过去几年美联储经济刺激和预算赤字对经济复苏真的没有任何副作用吗？
Foster对此解释道，“美联储缩减QE以及利率正常化对经济并不是完全没有风险，过去5年来美联储曾向整个金融系统充入大规模的流动性，这可能导致另一个资产泡沫或是通胀压力，特别是一旦银行重新开始进行常规的放贷时。”
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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