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美元受提振 黄金现货触底后走势或大幅上涨

关键字:黄金现货走势、美元走势

【基本面】

昨晚公布的上周初请数据再度差于预期,在上周36.8万的基础上继续上升至37.9万,高于预期的33.2万;另外房地产市场方面同样表现较差,11月新屋销售月率降至-4.3%,低于前值-3.2%,以及预期-2.0%;费城联储制造业指数同样差于预期。但是市场基本忽略了经济数据的影响,可能还在沉浸在昨日美联储利率决议的影响当中。明日美国将公布第三季度GDP修正值,月初的GDP数据大幅好于预期,而昨日美联储也提升了GDP增长预期,若明日数据表现好,那无疑将继续提振美元。

下周将迎来圣诞节假期,本周结束后,市场下周可能再度进入类似的休眠状态,去年此时美国正陷入债务上限危机之中,市场风声鹤唳,但昨日美国已经达成了新的预算案,提前解除了警报,不过美联储的突然行动带来了变故,市场是否会在镇定后有进一步行动,仍需观望。

 

【行情分析】

此次金价下跌到了接近今年6月最低的1180的水平,从技术面上看,市场可能将从“双底”模式中反弹。分析师认为,现在的情况可以形成一个很大的双底,这是接下来几周要关注的,尽管有美联储的缩减,但这可能说明黄金价格会有大幅上涨。”现在金价1194,最低1187,距离1180只有几美元之差。阻力位就在1180,留意今天的收市价。

 

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