美国债务危机仍未结束 明年初将对黄金价作支持
关键字：美国债务危机、黄金价
行情回顾：
上周五金价急升，上升至1320水平争持，美国宽松货币政策，债务上根问题缓和，短期金价小幅波动，1310 – 1340候高位沽货，最大阻力1355因SPDR ETF持仓量仍有减无增，880吨，维持低水平，本月下跌了3%，反映机构投资者不看好黄金，只是技术性反弹。
【行情分析】
金价亚市早盘小幅上涨。预期金价上涨的势头或将耗尽，但受美元疲软以及较低的债券收益率影响，黄金短期前景或回归中性。而金价或将受阻于1340美元，若回落下破1290美元将预示金价重回跌势。与此同时，来自世界上两个最大的黄金需求国—中国和印度的实物需求也开始减弱。
美国停止运作和债务上限暂时告一段落，最快要到明年年初才有机会再次重现，不过要注意的是债务问题将会是美国一个非常大的问题，而且不是一时三刻能够解决的，相信未来都会为黄金作支持。
而未来的焦点又会重新投入在QE退市的议题上，回忆前一、两月的时间，很多市场人士的认为踏进第三季美国会逐步退市，但可见到现在为止都没有做这一步，要注意的是主席佰南克一直强调失业率要到6.5和有一个稳定的情况才有机会退市，另外，因为美国政府停运了16日，对美国的GDP可能会有半个百分点或以上的损失，种种因素都显示美国在这个脆弱经济情况都未适合将任何对经济刺激的政策推市，最快的可以留意因早前政府停运而延期到明天才公布的就业数据，预期为18万。
【技术分析】
日线图显示，KD顶部背离，布尔通道向下运行。小时图显示，布尔信道收窄且横向发展，OSC维持负面。表明金价短线受制于30日平均线，上涨动能有限，修整后仍有回调风险。预计短期，伦敦金将反复测试1320-1327美元区间阻力，若受阻1327美元，则回落测试1308美元和1300美元关口。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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