SPRD黄金ETF持仓量减少 伦敦金走势承压
关键字：黄金ETF持仓量、伦敦金走势
行情回顾：
上周五，中国2013年第三季度国内生产总值同比增速反弹至7.8%，与市场预期一致，加上美国芝加哥联储主席埃文斯表示，认同推迟缩减第三轮量化宽松举措的决定，美元指数下滑，提振伦敦金反弹至日内高点1327.5美元，但世界最大的SPDR黄金ETF持仓量减持至882.23公吨，打压伦敦金回吐涨幅，并小幅收跌于1315.9美元。
【基本面】
上周五数据显示中国第三季经济增速如预期反弹至7.8%，市场预计受基数因素的影响，第四季增速略为放缓，但经济基本面向好的趋势不变，全年料可实现7.5%增长的目标，增添市场的乐观情绪，激励亚洲股市上涨至五个月高点，支撑风险资产，扶助美元兑日圆触及98.15高点。
日本央行(BOJ)副总裁岩田归久男称，一旦海外风险因素威胁到央行2%通货膨胀率目标的实现，BOJ就准备采取额外的货币政策措施，但BOJ总裁黑田东彦表示，央行货币刺激已在经济活动中明确显现，正面影响逐渐在经济及物价上扩散，预期日本经济将持续温和复苏，核心消费者物价年增率料缓步上升，促使市场关注BOJ于10月31日举行的政策会议，届时将发布半年度经济与物价预估，提供日圆支撑，并随着美国民主党和共和党在最后一刻达成协议，打破财政僵局，为政府拨款至1月15日及将举债权限延长至2月7日，暂时避免了政府违约的风险。
但持续十六天的政府停摆，恐对济造成负面冲击，并影响美国联邦准备理事会(FED)可能将缩减购买公债规模推迟至明年，而且美国公债收益率下跌削弱了美元的吸引力，打击美元兑日圆跌至97.53低点。市场焦点转向本周二公布的美国9月就业数据。
【技术分析】
日线图显示，KD顶部背离，布尔通道向下运行。小时图显示，布尔信道收窄且横向发展，OSC维持负面。表明金价短线受制于30日平均线，上涨动能有限，修整后仍有回调风险。预计短期，伦敦金将反复测试1320-1327美元区间阻力，若受阻1327美元，则回落测试1308美元和1300美元关口。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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