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今日下午金价走势分析2013.9.24

关键字:今日黄金走势

【基本面分析】

目前市场比较矛盾,一方面很多分析认为美国经济逐渐向好,一方面又认为大宗市场的超级周期将结束。

近日现货黄金等各类贵金属价格普遍受压,对于上周美联储的决定,有人认为这只是拖延时间,量化宽松政策早晚要结束。但无论是现在猜测今年10月还是明年1月开始缩减债券购买规模,都不足以支撑金价。另外,由于美国即将达到债务上限,美国政府面临危机。据美国国会预算局称,预计10月中旬达到美国债务上限。过往2011年,美国政府面对可能关闭的风险,黄金市场反应很大,这可能是再次支持金价上升的机会。

【技术分析】

因缺乏消息推动,黄金继续低位窄幅震荡,黄金下行趋势线完好,上方均线交叉向下,下方已无均线支撑,在未上穿MA200均线前,黄金或跌向8月7日低点1272寻求支撑。RSI现值45,行情处于空头市场中。视乎能否有效站稳MA20均线后,行情才有可能空转多,或RSI上穿50是做多的信号。

分析师预计,今日金价都是偏弱调整,走势在1310-1340波动。

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