现货黄金价格得不到支撑 空头占主导
关键字:现货黄金价格、空头回补
【行情回顾】
富国银行交易策略主管Rick Bensignor认为:“金价可升至其200天平均水平,即1475美元/盎司,9月18日的趋势证明了它跌破其连接6月28日与8月7日两个低点间上升趋势线后的一个逆势上涨趋势。”
法国兴业银行(Societe Generale)分析师Robin Bhar说道:“美联储的决定让所有押空黄金的投资者手忙脚乱,他们不得不空头回补。但是为了推动金价至1400美元/盎司,还需要更多的动力,但是谁又愿意继续做多黄金呢?”实际上金价得不到来自其他市场的支撑。
金价昨日先回软后上升,市场在美联储宣布维持购买债券规模不变后,暂时失去了焦点,金价在横行区间波动。
【基本面分析】
大摩和花旗同时看淡黄金价格,其中都提及美联储削减QE令黄金有沽售压力,全球经济前景的改善以及对美联储退市的忧虑均令现货黄金交易量减少,现货黄金价格下跌;同时新兴市场黄金储备充足,中国对黄金的需求将下滑,而印度也不可能有大规模买盘出现。
【技术分析】
从黄金分时图看,1340是关键阻力点,视乎能否冲破该点而反弹上升,操作上建议先多后空,从低点1320位置轻仓买入,候高估货。
预计今日黄金价格将在1315-1340波动。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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