王垣鑫：美元指数单日大幅下挫，黄金单日上涨超50美元
昨日早间金价在亚盘开盘后维持在1703-1712区间内进行窄幅震荡整理，直到晚间美盘时段开盘后震荡走势才得以结束。随后金价开始大幅度拉升，短短三个小时内直接拉涨超过44美元的幅度，在将近期反弹高点刷新至1756一线附近后，目前价格正在进行回踩调整。
哈克预期加息步伐放缓
根据报道，哈克在准备好的讲稿中表示，接下来的几个月里，鉴于此前已经实现的加息幅度，随着政策利率达到足够限制性的位置，预期美联储将放缓加息的步伐。哈克也不忘强调，即便加息幅度从75个基点下降至50个基点，依然是重大的政策举动。哈克列举称，从1983年以来美联储FOMC总共决定加息88次，其中有75次加息的幅度都低于50个基点。由于美联储此前误判通胀形势，所以从今年3月以来，鲍威尔追赶通胀的步伐越来越急迫。随着上周连续第4次祭出75基点加息后，年内美国的政策利率已经从接近零利率升至3.75%-4%。
美国10月CPI同比涨幅八个月来首次低于8%
美国10月消费者物价涨幅低于预期，同比涨幅八个月来首次低于8%，这是迄今为止通胀放缓的最强烈迹象，或将推动美联储放慢激进的加息步伐。但通胀阻击战远未取得胜利，数据显示，上周初请失业金人数仅小幅增加，表明就业市场仍然吃紧。具体数据显示，在截至10月12个月中，CPI上涨7.7%，9月同比涨幅为8.2%。这是自2月以来CPI同比涨幅首次低于8%，也是1月以来的最小涨幅。美国总统拜登对假期前通胀缓解表示欢迎，并称这表明他的经济政策正在取得成果。拜登所在的民主党在周二的期中选举中表现好于预期。
昨日金价进一步延续大幅度反弹走势录得大实体阳线K线形态，日线MACD指标双线的金叉过程已经向上穿越0轴进入强势区域当中，暗示后市有望进一步延续反弹走势。不过KDJ指标三线已经持续在超买区域当中运行有调整的需求，需要提防日内回调过程的出现，关注下方MA5均线的支撑效果。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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