熊傲君：通胀回落难改美联储作风，金价大涨过后修正
关键词：美国通胀数据，黄金价格大涨
导语：黄金价格近期的走势可谓十分精彩，尤其是对于多头而言，终于迎来了比较强势的反扑，并且一度回到了1750的上方，这更多是由于此前公布的美国通胀数据出现明显回落，降低了美联储继续保持激进加息的概率，使得黄金在市场基本面上迎来了利好，从而帮助其结束了此前一段时间的低迷表现。
CPI数据显示美联储政策生效
美国的CPI数据可以说一直以来牵动着金融市场的神经，因为其一直处于高位而导致美联储今年采取了多次的大力度加息，这让金价从三月份开始就持续回落，尽管同时黄金也具备抗通胀的能力，但在激进加息的背景下，黄金的走势无疑还是比较挣扎。不过根据稍早前的最新CPI数据显示，在美联储的努力下，美国的通胀水平已经有了明显的回落，代表着努力的成果得到了体现，未来或会开始调整政策。
12月加息75基点可能性不大
在连续多份通胀数据出现回落的情况下，现阶段市场普遍认为美联储12月份加息75个基点的概率已经不大，当然还不能完全盖棺而定，因为美联储内部的官员讲话还是维持着较为强硬的态度，所以即使金价出现了强势回升，但是幅度在后市可能还是会受到限制。接下来还需要继续关注美国市场的经济数据状况，以及观察市场对于美联储的加息预期是否有所调整，这将决定2022年最后的收官节奏。
目前的黄金价格依然保持着高位震荡的节奏为主，不过经历了这次的大幅反弹过后，恐怕下方已经形成了十分牢固的支撑平台，对于后市开展反攻奠定了基础，所以一旦美联储开始减慢加息的节奏甚至明年停止加息的话，那么就会对黄金形成进一步的利好作用，届时就有望重新迎来真正的多头爆发阶段。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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