經濟數據樂觀 金價依舊苦苦支撐
關鍵字: 經濟數據樂觀
金價上周整體走勢一度保持低迷局面,在周初更是跌破了1700的大關,在相當接近前低之際,終於成功守住支撐反彈,最終出現大幅回升。不過由於週五晚的非農資料表現理想,所以黃金可能在本周有繼續承壓的風險,具體還要結合市場的基本面跟進。
全球經濟數據整體都比較樂觀,提振市場的風險偏好,全球股市普遍上漲,一度令金價大跌3月份,中國製造業採購經理指數(PMI)為51.9%,高於上月1.3個百分點,製造業景氣回升。非製造業商務活動指數為56.3%,較上月上升4.9個百分點,表明非製造業擴張有所加快。
法國3月製造業採購經理人指數(PMI)終值為59.3,觸及2000年9月以來最高,2月為56.1。這高於初值58.8,且進一步遠離50的景氣榮枯分水嶺。
德國3月製造業採購經理人指數(PMI)終值為66.6,持平創紀錄的初值;歐元區3月製造業採購經理人指數(PMI)終值為62.5,高於初值62.4以及2月的57.9,為1997年6月以來最高。英國3月製造業採購經理人指數(PMI)終值從初值57.9上修至58.9,創逾10年最高位。
在17年來最強訂單和生產資料加持下,美國製造業在3月份錄得了1983年以來最快的擴張速度。
全球股市上周普遍上漲,上證指數上周上漲1.93%;德國股市上周上漲1.95%,創歷史記錄新高;法國股市上周上漲1.5%,創逾一年新高;斯托克600指數上周上漲1.14%,創逾一年新高,且逼近歷史記錄高點;日本股市和韓國股市上周均上漲2.3%;泰國股市上周上漲1.4%,創逾一年新高;標普500指數上周上漲1.14%,創歷史記錄新高,而且頂破4000點整數關口。
上周初在美國經濟力道以及美債收益率升勢的助推下,美元一舉創下近五個月新高至93.44,也對金價壓制明顯。美國10年前國債收益率本周最高曾觸及1.774%,為逾一年新高,是上周初金價大跌的原因之一。
來到本周的話,會有更多的製造業資料為主,屆時會對市場給出更直觀的經濟復蘇局面,另外重點將會繼續是美聯儲官員的講話以及美聯儲貨幣紀要,當然,拜登的刺激計畫最新情況也需時刻關注。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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