美元反彈，市場情緒樂觀
關鍵字：市場情緒樂觀
12月28日，現貨黃金處於弱勢震盪走勢，雖然早盤黃金出現明顯漲幅，但美國現任總統特朗普簽署了市場期待已久的援助法案後，為市場帶來一定支撐，美股三大指數刷新高位，削弱黃金避險需求，美元出現反彈。
分析師表示，我們正在假日期間。實際上，現在不需要太多的刺激因素就能推動市場走勢，也許這只是對美元走勢做出的反應。最終，金價將繼續走高。
在有報導稱美國當選總統拜登將根據《國防生產法案》來增加新冠疫苗生產之後，道瓊斯工業指數觸及日內高點；並購相關新聞也提振了風險偏好，美股三大指數盤中全部刷新歷史新高，德國DAX指數收盤創歷史新高。
美元指數小幅上漲，受到定盤相關需求的提振，市場流動性低下；之前在特朗普簽署大流行病紓困法案後，該指數一度下跌0.3%，英鎊大跌、新興市場貨幣疲軟，提振了美元，這令金價承壓。
由於疫苗研發繼續加速，預計明年第一季度金價的看漲信心將出現猶豫。但從第二季度開始，金價料將交投在在2000美元上方，因隨著人們接種疫苗，市場將注意力轉移到流動性過剩上。明年主要經濟體（尤其是美國和歐盟）持續的財政和貨幣支持，應該會讓金價受益。儘管不斷上升的風險情緒可能會阻礙黃金作為避險資產的吸引力，但美元疲軟、低收益率和通脹預期上升的三重因素應該會繼續推動金價走高。預計明年金價將繼續上漲，從第二季度到第四季度金價將交投在2000美元/盎司上方。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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