美元跌破關口，黃金月線下跌
關鍵字：美元跌破關口
8月31日，現貨黃金早間時分錄得新高位，由於美聯儲鴿派政策的轉變，是的美元跌至兩年的最低點，市場對此感到擔憂，推動黃金進一步上漲。不過黃金將要創下五個月以來的首次月線下跌。
美元指數週一跌破92關口，刷新2018年5月以來低點至91.98；因美聯儲新出臺的平均通脹目標政策而承壓，該政策將允許利率維持在低位，即使未來通脹略有上升。低利率通常會支撐金價，黃金是對沖通脹和貨幣貶值的工具。
分析師道，美聯儲接下來的行動對黃金至關重要。他們維持看多金價的建議。政策轉移使美聯儲的信譽有受損之虞。分析師表示，預計美聯儲將致力於維持聯邦基金利率在零，直到通脹明顯高於目標，然後轉向購買較長期國債。比起鮑威爾的策略聲明，美聯儲打算如何刺激經濟活動並降低失業率，從而帶動通脹預期，對黃金更為重要。
8月早些時候，由於新冠病毒流行損害了經濟，並導致包括美聯儲在內推出大量刺激措施，金價上漲至每盎司2000美元以上的紀錄高位。上周，美聯儲主席鮑威爾表明對通貨膨脹採取了更為寬鬆的立場。現在各方焦點將放在9月的政策制定會議。
過去幾周黃金市場波動非常大，而這種情況暫時不會有變化。對於本周金價走勢，Hug表示看好金價測試2000美元/盎司，而一旦回到了這個關鍵的心理關口上方，那麼黃金市場將出現下一波推動。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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