特朗普继续疯狂“甩锅”,黄金于千七关口拉锯
关键词:黄金于千七关口拉锯
5月4日,现货黄金延续上涨趋势,由于特朗普抗疫不力疯狂推脱责任,试图制造新的贸易纷争。但是要经济走出危机需要很长一段时间,企业和个人对资金需求十分强烈,美元指数的反弹也限制了金价的涨势,目前金价在千七关口展开拉锯。
外界批评特朗普早前在阻止疫情蔓延方面行动迟缓,他正寻求通过甩锅中国来转移批评。特朗普近期在回答关税等问题时称,中国可能要为自己应对新冠肺炎疫情的表现负责,他本人正在考虑各种选项。
新冠疫情已导致美国近118万人染病、超过6.8万人病亡。美国总统特朗普周日表示,他目前认为可能会有多达10万美国人死于新冠疫情,死亡病例数已经超过了特朗普之前的预估。
随着新增病例数开始下降或趋平,加上民众急着想要解除限制,全美约有半数的州目前已开始放松封锁,至少部分解封。期待经济复苏的投资者还将关注是否有更多的州宣布逐步重开商业。
抗疫的限制举措已导致美国经济陷入混乱,美国社会严重停摆,包括多数学校停课、许多企业关闭。特朗普很清楚,新冠疫情导致的死亡人数和经济损失,会威胁他在11月大选赢得连任的机会。他亟需撇清自己的责任,但市场显然不得不顾及由此引发的新的不确定性,黄金多头有意找寻新的突破口。
美国劳工部周五将公布4月非农就业报告,届时投资者将看到一项惨不忍睹的经济数据。调查显示,当月非农就业岗位料减少2200万个,这将远高于3月的减少70.1万个。
美联储上周重申,在抗疫期间如有必要将保持低利率,并且继续为整体经济提供万亿美元信贷以维稳经济。但这可能只是苦难的开端,政策必须在如何重启经济、需要甚么健康防护措施继续遏制病毒、如何抵销金融及其他受挫等方面做出关键抉择。
交疏离措施对企业生产率的打击实实在在,信心下降可能阻碍企业投资,而面临较高感染风险的工人们不得不权衡利弊——如何照顾孩子和年迈的父母,因此他们可能会退出劳动力市场,为了维持生计,企业和个人都面临资金压力,美元后市下行空间有限。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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