美国房市数据不及预期，金价短线上涨
关键词：房市数据不及预期
7月17日，加拿大公布CPI数据，数据符合预期，但不及前值。而核心通胀超出市场预期，数据公布后，美元指数激烈震荡。同时美国房市数据表现不及预期，数据公布后，金价短线上涨。
具体数据显示，加拿大6月CPI年率(%)实际公布2.0，预期2.0，前值2.4；加拿大6月核心CPI年率(%)实际公布2.30，预期2.1，前值2.1。
分析指出，汽油价格走低成为本月通胀数据变动的主要推手，6月汽油价格整体下滑8%，对6月通胀产生0.3个基点的负面影响。在其他领域，随着近期生产者价格上涨，食品价格也迎来了上涨。剔除食品与能源的核心通胀保持稳定。
上周加拿大央行维持关键利率在1.75%不变，并称一些刺激举措是“恰当的，”而加拿大央行行长波洛兹在记者招待会上没有直接对降息提问发表言论。反而鲍威尔在上周的言论中暗示降息。
通胀已经成为加拿大面临的一个独有问题，价格涨幅已经高于央行设定的2%目标水平，对比美联储正在竭力推动它青睐的通胀指标升至这一水平。类似加拿大这样依赖大宗商品出口的更小型经济体在全球贸易忧虑中面临更大的通胀风险。
加拿大央行的主要预测是通胀率将在明年年中前后重返可持续的2%目标水平。这是许多接受调查的经济学家预计今年加元汇率在两个方向上都不会有所变化的原因之一。
美国新屋开工数据连续2个月下跌，营建许可数据跌至2年来新低，表明尽管抵押贷款利率降低，但房地产市场持续惨淡。新屋开工季调数据下降0.9%。虽然单个家庭房屋建造早房地产市场的大头，但这一部分的数据回升被多家庭房屋建造的下降而拖累，导致了数据录得减少。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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