林幽沃:叙利亚弹丸之地 却陷入世界旋涡之中
在美国当地时间4月13日晚,美军联合英、法两国实施对叙利亚化武设施的导弹打击,令到当地战火再度点燃。
一向只对中东石油资源感到兴趣的美国,在近年来目光开始转向叙利亚。叙利亚本身虽然属于传统的产油国,但在近年油气开采已经逐渐枯萎,那美国究竟意欲何为?
一、战略位置
叙利亚位于亚洲西部,地中海东岸,北与土耳其接壤,东同伊拉克交界,南与约旦毗连,西南与黎巴嫩和巴勒斯坦为邻,西与塞浦路斯隔地中海相望。叙利亚位置重要,靠近世界最大的几个石油储藏国沙特,伊朗,伊拉克,靠近大国俄罗斯的欧洲部分。
二、中东霸权
美国在中东上的战略已经部署多年,从成功攻打伊拉克、利比亚等中东大国后,令亲美派政权上台从而控制石油资源。直至如今,中东地区只剩伊朗以及叙利亚属于亲俄派。叙利亚应当也只是为了后续让四面包围伊朗而作准备。
三、美俄对决
早在数年前,叙利亚政府军在俄罗斯的支援下,几乎全面打败反对派军队的时刻,美国突然发射导弹帮助反弹派,令战争活生生拖了7年之久。而本次精准打击“化武”亦是在反对派屡屡败退的情况下发生,在这弹丸之地中陷入两个军事大国的终极对决。
至今为止,叙利亚战争已经演变成美俄的对抗,在两个军事大国不断提供资金装备的情况下,战争短期内恐怕不能结束。
从资本市场上来看,资金开始寻找避险港湾。为了应对当前战争风险,相当一部分的资金开始流入欧洲市场和黄金市场,其后在长期内,市场风险偏好较低,适合寻找避险产品进行投资。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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